22, 2012 | By John Carroll New breast cancer therapies will earn
blockbuster revenue in the years to come. But don't expect these new drugs to
dramatically change the life expectancy of women diagnosed with an advanced
case.The clear likelihood that Roche's ($RHHBY) T-DM1--its "armed
antibody" developed by Genentech--is headed for an approval encouraged
analysts at Decision Resources to project a solid rise in revenue for all
breast cancer drugs in the 10 years ahead.Combined with the newly approved
Perjeta, another Roche/Genentech drug, and Afinitor from Novartis ($NVS), the
group projects that major market sales to breast cancer will rise from $8.6
billion in 2011 to $10.9 billion in 2018 before that figure levels out through
2021."T-DM1 has demonstrated impressive results in later-line treatment of
HER2-positive breast cancer and Decision Resources anticipates the agent will
be approved in this setting in 2013, and will move into earlier settings through
2021," notes the firm. But despite a tremendous amount of new R&D work
in the field, Decision Resources believes that only a handful of new agents
will dominate the field.
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